What is a multiple (EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA) and how do I choose the right one?
Short Answer
Multiples are shortcuts: Enterprise Value / Revenue (EV/Revenue) for growth-stage, EV/EBITDA for profitable companies, EV/Users for early-stage. Choose based on whether your business is profitable.
Full Explanation
Multiples are used when DCF is unreliable (pre-profitable, uncertain growth). EV/Revenue (or price-to-sales) is most common for high-growth SaaS because EBITDA can be negative and volatile. A SaaS company with £10M revenue at 50% growth trading at 8x revenue = £80M enterprise value. EV/EBITDA works for profitable, mature companies (limited growth, stable margins). A software company with £100M revenue, 30% EBITDA margin (£30M), trading at 10x EBITDA = £300M enterprise value. EV/Users (or price-per-user) is used for early-stage consumer apps where monetisation is uncertain. A messaging app with 10M users valued at £100/user = £1B valuation. Choosing the right multiple: 1) if not profitable, use EV/Revenue, 2) if profitable with stable margins, use EV/EBITDA, 3) if pre-monetisation, use EV/Users or similar activity metrics. Multiples vary by: growth rate (high-growth commands premium multiples), profitability (profitable companies command higher EV/EBITDA), market conditions (bull markets expand multiples), and sector (SaaS multiples > traditional software). Limitations: multiples are backward-looking (based on comparables' current performance); they can miss company-specific advantages (network effects, intangible assets) that justify premium valuations. The company valuation views in Opagio Intangibles set a DCF beside trading comparables and precedent transactions (with comparables you enter), showing how different methodologies yield different results.
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Further Reading
The AI Valuation Premium: How AI Capability Affects Company Value
AI-enabled companies trade at 25-40% higher multiples than peers, but not all AI capability is created equal. This article examines what drives the AI valuation premium, how to assess whether it is justified, and what happens when the premium unravels.
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