What metrics does Opagio track to validate its valuation accuracy over time?

Full Explanation

Validation approach: 1) collect data from companies who used Opagio and subsequently exited, 2) compare Opagio's historical valuation to exit valuation, 3) measure accuracy (typically within 15-25% range for most assets), 4) identify where methodology underperformed and adjust calibration. Data limitations: most early-stage companies don't exit publicly (making post-hoc validation difficult), and exit valuations are influenced by buyer-specific factors (synergies, buyer's cost of capital) beyond the asset's intrinsic value. Ongoing validation: as more Opagio users complete exits and report results, datasets grow and accuracy improves. Current accuracy ranges: customer relationships (±10-15%), technology assets (±15-25%), brand values (±15-20%), depending on data quality and comparable availability. Transparency: Opagio publishes periodic accuracy reports (anonymised) showing how valuations compare to outcomes, building credibility. For users, this validation demonstrates that the methodology is sound and calibrated to real-world outcomes. Opagio doesn't claim perfect accuracy — valuations are inherently uncertain — but shows that methodology is evidence-based and continuously improved.

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