Growth Forecasting

The percentage change in a metric from one year to the next, used to assess trends while neutralising seasonal effects. YoY growth rates in revenue, productivity, and intangible asset investment are fundamental to performance evaluation, valuation modelling, and growth accounting analysis.

The percentage increase in a company's revenue over a specific period, typically measured year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter. Revenue growth rate is a fundamental measure of business expansion, market traction, and the effectiveness of go-to-market strategy.

The annualised rate of return that smooths out growth over multiple years, calculated as (ending value / beginning value)^(1/years) minus one. CAGR is used to compare growth trajectories of companies or metrics across different time periods.

A style of private equity investment focused on mature, profitable, or near-profitable companies seeking capital to accelerate expansion without ceding majority control. Growth equity investors typically target businesses with proven product-market fit and strong intangible asset bases, providing capital for scaling operations, entering new markets, or funding acquisitions.

Investment funding provided to established companies to accelerate expansion, enter new markets, develop products, or make acquisitions. Growth capital sits between venture capital (higher risk, earlier stage) and traditional private equity (mature businesses, often leveraged).

The practice of valuing assets at their current market price rather than their historical cost. Mark-to-market accounting provides a more timely view of portfolio value but can introduce volatility, particularly for intangible-heavy investments where market prices may fluctuate significantly in response to sentiment and information flow.

Systematic investigation and experimentation aimed at creating new products, services, or processes, or significantly improving existing ones. R&D expenditure is one of the largest categories of intangible asset investment and is a key driver of innovation capital and future competitiveness.

An AI architecture that combines a large language model with an external knowledge retrieval system, enabling the model to ground its responses in verified, up-to-date information rather than relying solely on its training data. RAG reduces hallucination risk, improves factual accuracy, and allows organisations to deploy AI systems that reference proprietary knowledge bases without retraining the underlying model.

The Productivity Measurement Gap: Why GDP Per Hour Worked No Longer Tells the Full Story

Traditional productivity metrics were designed for an economy dominated by physical capital and tangible output. In a world where the most valuable firms derive their competitive advantage from software, data, brand equity, and organizational know-how, those metrics are increasingly unreliable. Here is why the gap matters — and what we should do about it.

How does Opagio's Productivity Calculator work?

The calculator uses growth accounting methodology to decompose your revenue and GVA growth into contributions from labour, capital, and Total Factor Productivity (TFP).

What is Gross Value Added (GVA)?

GVA measures the value a company creates by subtracting intermediate consumption (purchases of goods and services) from total revenue — it's the firm-level equivalent of GDP contribution.

What is the Solow Residual?

The Solow Residual is the portion of output growth that cannot be explained by growth in labour and capital inputs — it represents Total Factor Productivity growth, which is largely driven by intangible assets.