Growth Forecasting

The percentage change in a metric from one year to the next, used to assess trends while neutralising seasonal effects. YoY growth rates in revenue, productivity, and intangible asset investment are fundamental to performance evaluation, valuation modelling, and growth accounting analysis.

The rate at which a firm increases its output relative to its inputs over time. Productivity growth is a key indicator of operational efficiency and long-term competitiveness, closely linked to investment in intangible assets such as technology, training, and process improvement.

The percentage increase in a company's revenue over a specific period, typically measured year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter. Revenue growth rate is a fundamental measure of business expansion, market traction, and the effectiveness of go-to-market strategy.

The annualised rate of return that smooths out growth over multiple years, calculated as (ending value / beginning value)^(1/years) minus one. CAGR is used to compare growth trajectories of companies or metrics across different time periods.

A go-to-market strategy where the product itself serves as the primary driver of customer acquisition, conversion, and expansion, rather than traditional sales-led approaches. PLG companies offer free trials, freemium tiers, or self-service onboarding that allows users to experience value before engaging with sales teams.

An analytical framework that decomposes economic or firm-level output growth into contributions from labour, capital, and a residual factor often interpreted as technological progress or total factor productivity. Growth accounting is fundamental to understanding how intangible investments — in R&D, software, organisational design, and human capital — drive productivity improvements.

A style of private equity investment focused on mature, profitable, or near-profitable companies seeking capital to accelerate expansion without ceding majority control. Growth equity investors typically target businesses with proven product-market fit and strong intangible asset bases, providing capital for scaling operations, entering new markets, or funding acquisitions.

Investment funding provided to established companies to accelerate expansion, enter new markets, develop products, or make acquisitions. Growth capital sits between venture capital (higher risk, earlier stage) and traditional private equity (mature businesses, often leveraged).