Frontier Analysis

A valuation and risk assessment technique that evaluates potential outcomes by modelling different sets of assumptions about key variables such as growth rates, margins, and discount rates. Scenario analysis is essential for intangible asset valuation because the future cash flows attributable to intangible assets are inherently uncertain.

A forecasting and valuation technique based on the logistic growth function, which models the adoption or diffusion of technology, products, or innovations as a characteristic S-shaped curve with slow initial growth, rapid acceleration, and eventual saturation. S-curve analysis is used in intangible asset valuation to project revenue trajectories for technology assets, assess the remaining useful life of patents, and evaluate where a product sits in its lifecycle.

A valuation technique that applies financial options pricing theory to evaluate the flexibility embedded in strategic investments, such as the option to expand, delay, or abandon a project. Real options analysis is particularly valuable for intangible-intensive investments where uncertainty is high and future decision points create significant embedded value.

The valuation of a company's existing order book or contracted but undelivered revenue at the measurement date. Backlog is recognised as a contract-based intangible asset under IFRS 3 and ASC 805 when it arises from contractual or legal rights.

A method of tracking the behaviour of groups of customers (cohorts) who share a common characteristic — typically their acquisition date — over time. Cohort retention analysis reveals whether product improvements are genuinely improving customer retention by isolating the performance of each intake group, and is essential for forecasting lifetime value and revenue trajectory in subscription businesses.

A financial analysis used in M&A to determine whether a proposed acquisition will increase (accrete) or decrease (dilute) the acquirer's earnings per share. This analysis is particularly sensitive to how acquired intangible assets are valued and amortised post-transaction.

A method of segmenting customers into groups based on shared characteristics or time of acquisition, then tracking their behaviour and value over time. Cohort analysis is essential for understanding customer lifetime value trends, retention dynamics, and the true unit economics of growth-stage businesses.

The portion of economic output growth that cannot be explained by measurable increases in labour and capital inputs, named after economist Robert Solow. The Solow residual is often interpreted as a measure of technological progress and is closely related to total factor productivity, capturing the output gains attributable to intangible factors such as innovation, education, and institutional quality.

What happens if I disagree with Opagio's valuation?

All valuations depend on assumptions. Opagio provides sensitivity analysis so you can adjust inputs, test different scenarios, and align conclusions with your own views.

Can I export my Opagio valuation for use in external documents?

Yes, in part. Report Studio produces a downloadable PDF report, and the Asset Valuator exports a side-by-side comparison of saved scenarios as a CSV file. Neither is a signed valuation.

What is a sensitivity analysis in intangible asset valuation?

Sensitivity analysis tests how changes in key assumptions (discount rate, growth rate, attrition rate, royalty rate) affect the intangible asset's fair value, identifying which inputs have the greatest impact.